When it comes to handicapping NFL betting odds matchups or football games in general the most reliable indicators to study are obviously statistics. This can be an abstract process as the stats are derived from a variety of competition against a variety of opponents and perhaps a few common opponents but rarely are we able to extract the data from a head to head matchup in the relatively brief 16-game NFL season.

That’s not the case in this weekend’s AFC Championship game which features two teams, the New York Jets (13-5) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (13-4), which have not only already met once this season but played each other less than a month at the exact same field they’ll meet on Sunday.But those results, a 22-17 Jets win, are unlikely to be duplicated, as the statistical evidence would point to that result being an aberration of the norm rather than a likely outcome of this matchup. Read more…

It’s hard to believe that just four teams remain in the NFL gambling action and that Super Bowl XLV is just a little over 2 weeks away. From day of the 2010-11 NFL season there has been almost nonstop action and plenty of surprises. And with two great teams, the Green Bay Packers (12-6) and the Chicago Bears (12-5), and a classic rivalry (183rd meeting between these two teams) slated for the NFC Championship game this weekend it’s anybody’s guess who’s going to represent the National Football Conference in the upcoming Super Bowl.

But if you’re going to put money on this game make sure you put it on the Packers. Kickoff for this Sunday matchup is set for 3:05 Eastern Time and SBG Global Sportsbook opened with the Packers as a 3.5-point favorite with an over/under total at 43.5. Read more…

The New York Jets (11-6) don’t even need to step on the field against the New England Patriots (14-2) on the frozen field in Foxboro this weekend in the AFC divisional playoffs action. They’ve already won this matchup, at least in terms of trash talking.

Since the moment the Jets pulled off an impressive 17-16 last minute win over the favored Indianapolis Colts on the road in the AFC Wildcard playoff action last weekend the New York Jets have been on the trash-talking offense, talking smack about the Pats to whoever will listen.

There are two way to view this: 1) that this team is extremely confident and ready to give New England a tough game; 2) this team is trying to cover up some deficiency or insecurity with their braggadocio. Read more…

Two years ago the NFL gambling scenario about to unfold in Philadelphia this weekend would have seemed impossible. At that time the Eagles starting QB in this weekend’s NFC Wild Card playoff game was serving time in a federal penitentiary and was the scourge of the league.

But after paying his debt to society Vick has exploded onto the NFL scene this year even better than ever. In just 12 full games he threw for 21 TDs, just 6 INTs, averaged 251.6 passing yards per game along with 56.3 rushing yards and 9 TDs. And he also finished 3rd in the NFL in passer rating (100.2).

He is the principal reason the Philadelphia Eagles (10-6) are hosting an NFC Wild Card game this weekend and he will the man the Green Bay Packers (10-6) must stop. Read more…